US: 14 million Omicron cases in first 3 weeks of January

Julian Fry
3 min readJan 24, 2022


As expected — Omicron is so virulent; and testing is now so prevalent — than recorded cases already for Jan (to the 21st) are at a record. Over 14 million cases. Run rate for fatalities puts it about 50,000 deaths this month.

Even though the UK has definitely peaked on average daily cases — the total for the month will be a record — and fatalities will be the highest for 10 months.

The UK has definitely peaked for cases:

But the US has not and the fatality rate has risen sharply and is much higher (per capita) than the UK:


My home state Tennessee shows sharply rising cases, and very high level of fatalities

But NY has definitely peaked:

But not soon enough to avoid January being a record month for fatalities in the past 10+ months. Expect fatalities of about 5,000 by the end of the month — close to the same level from Jan 2021.

11 States now have average daily fatalities in excess of 10 people per million per day:

It’s still time to be cautious and avoid putting incremental pressure on hospitals. And of course — if you are not vaccinated or boosted — get it!

The overall higher fatality rate in the US versus the UK is most likely attributable to lower vaccination levels here in the US.

Originally published at on January 24, 2022.



Julian Fry

I’ve always been logically driven. I like to think I look at things broadly and draw observations that may not be represented by main stream media.