Trump’s COVID Legacy

  • 23.9 million COVID cases
  • 208,000 new COVID cases per day (7 day average)
  • 396,155 deaths
  • 3,260 average daily deaths
  • over 6 million people currently infected or recovering from COVID
  • Over 114,000 people currently in hospital with covid, almost 22,000 of which are in ICU
  • 17m people have recovered from COVID

Lets look at vaccine data

  • 41.4m does have been distributed of which 21.8 million doses have been administered (about 52%)
  • As of Jan 24th, about 18.5 million people have received at least one dose of COVID;
  • Of the 18.5m people, 3.2m have been fully vaccinated.
  • Of the 3.2m fully vaccinated, just 201,000 of people in long term care facilities (why?)
  • A run rate of about 1.4 million vaccinations per day
  • So far 1% of the US population has been fully vaccinated.
  • At the current rate — that could be the equivalent of about 5m people per week getting fully vaccinated (obviously there has to be a lag between doses… but once we ramp up this will be the figure) — which is about 1.4% of the population per week

When do we see improvement? 20 weeks from now…June 13th 2021

  • Lets say the tipping point in the virus is when 50% of the population have either been vaccinated or had it … that’s 163m people
  • With 23.9m people already exposed to COVID and 3.2m fully vaccinated — that’s 136m new people who need to be vaccinated or who get exposure (at current rates)

At the current rate of new infections, and new vaccinations — that point will come 20 weeks from now. Sunday June 13th 2021

Conclusion: Did the Trump Team Even Do the Math?

100 days from inauguration day is May 1st 2021.



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Julian Fry

Julian Fry


I’ve always been logically driven. I like to think I look at things broadly and draw observations that may not be represented by main stream media.